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Anthropic just submitted its IPO paperwork on Monday and its numbers quickly went viral.

The S-1 filing doesn't give a date, but Bloomberg reported that Anthropic could start formally marketing the IPO as soon as early November.

Underneath an $80.7 billion first-half net loss, most of it on paper, sits an operating business that's starting to make money.

Here’s how revenue has grown:

  • $41 million in 2023

  • $4.6 billion in 2025

  • $16.3 billion in the first half of 2026

Column chart of Anthropic's revenue. Full-year revenue was $41 million in 2023, $386 million in 2024 and $4,585 million in 2025. Revenue for the six months ended June 30 rose to $16,286 million in 2026 from $1,163 million in 2025, about 14 times as much.

Meanwhile, of the $80.7 billion first-half net loss, $72.4 billion was a fair value charge on convertible notes and SAFEs that got more expensive as Anthropic's valuation climbed.

The GAAP operating loss was $693 million.

Stacked column chart of Anthropic's net loss. In 2025 the net loss was $42.0 billion, of which $34.3 billion, or 81.75%, was the change in fair value of convertible notes, derivative liabilities, and SAFEs. In the six months ended June 30, 2026 the net loss was $80.7 billion, of which $72.4 billion, or 89.64%, was that change. Operating loss was $8,060 million in 2025 and $693 million in the first half of 2026.

On a non-GAAP basis, adjusted operating income swung to a $1.6 billion profit in the first half from a $1.8 billion loss a year earlier.

That's a 10% adjusted margin, versus a GAAP operating margin of negative 4%.

Column chart of Anthropic's adjusted operating income or loss, a non-GAAP measure. Losses were $522 million in 2023, $2,788 million in 2024 and $4,854 million in 2025, and $1,849 million in the six months ended June 30, 2025. The six months ended June 30, 2026 show adjusted operating income of $1,618 million, a 10% adjusted operating margin, while the GAAP operating margin was negative 4%.

Compute also appears to be getting cheaper relative to sales.

By our math, based on the filing, compute and infrastructure costs equaled 251% of revenue in the first quarter of 2025 and 48% in the second quarter of 2026, when Anthropic posted $974 million of GAAP operating income.

Grouped column chart of Anthropic's quarterly revenue and compute and infrastructure expense from the first quarter of 2025 to the second quarter of 2026. Revenue was $376 million, $787 million, $1,382 million, $2,040 million, $4,731 million and $11,555 million. Compute and infrastructure expense was $944 million, $1,390 million, $2,047 million, $2,945 million, $3,387 million and $5,558 million. Compute and infrastructure expense equaled 251%, 177%, 148%, 144%, 72% and 48% of revenue, so revenue first exceeded it in the first quarter of 2026.

Notably, too, Anthropic disclosed commitments of at least $110 billion with Amazon, at least roughly $114.5 billion with Google and at least $44.9 billion with Microsoft, plus up to $120.5 billion with SpaceX's AI unit.

The stated amounts for seven named deals add up to roughly $637 billion by our tally.

Horizontal bar chart of the most significant compute and infrastructure arrangements Anthropic describes in its S-1. Broadcom equipment lease rent is approximately $161.2 billion excluding interest over five-year leases. SpaceXAI is up to $120.5 billion over terms extending into 2029. Google is at least approximately $114.5 billion from April 2026 to July 2033. Amazon is at least $110.0 billion from May 2026 to April 2036. Microsoft is at least $44.9 billion from November 2026 to May 2033. Nscale is up to approximately $44.6 billion over terms extending into 2033. Lambda is approximately $41.3 billion over terms extending into 2034. SpaceXAI's agreements can be cancelled by either party on 90 days' notice after January and March 2027.

About $430 billion of that is minimum spending or fixed lease payments, and the rest is "up to" amounts or capacity paid for only as it's delivered.

Amazon's deal runs through April 2036.

Finally, customers with $100,000 or more of revenue over the past 12 months grew to more than 11,900 as of September 30, from about 1,500 at the end of 2025.

No single customer topped 10% of revenue in the first nine months of 2026, though the top five made up about 25%.

Column chart of Anthropic customers with $100,000 or more of revenue on a trailing 12-month basis. The count was approximately 20 at December 31, 2023, approximately 200 at December 31, 2024, approximately 1,500 at December 31, 2025, and more than 11,900 at September 30, 2026.

None of this makes Anthropic look like a cheap or sure bet ahead of its IPO.

But the numbers do point to an AI lab whose revenue is finally catching up to its stratospheric ambitions, even as its compute commitments stretch years into the future.

Table of one-day and year-to-date changes for major stock indexes, bitcoin, gold, silver, Brent crude and the 10-year Treasury yield for Monday, October 26, 2026

Elsewhere

🌎 Brazilian stocks crashed after Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won reelection. Trading on Brazil's stock exchange was halted by an automatic circuit breaker after Lula took 51.79% of valid votes to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's 48.21%, and Bolsonaro has reportedly refused to concede and says he'll seek to annul the result. (CNBC)

🤖 Meta plans to raise up to $95 billion by selling stock to fund its AI buildout. It launched about $35 billion of underwritten offerings and plans an at-the-market program of up to $60 billion. (Meta)

📊 Verizon raised its forecasts after adding 406,000 monthly-bill-paying wireless subscribers in the third quarter. It also signed an AI infrastructure deal worth more than $2 billion with Amazon Web Services. (Silvia News)

💼 Microsoft opened voluntary buyouts to about 60,000 employees, or roughly 27% of its workforce, according to a person familiar with the matter. The offer covers workers in the U.S., Canada, India and the U.K., and those who take it will leave on December 31, the person said. (CNBC)

Rapid-fire

  • Neocloud stocks whipsawed after Elon Musk predicted "guppy-level death" for more than 200 of them (CNBC)

  • Apollo's Torsten Slok says AI has delivered "zero financial payoff" outside the tech sector (Apollo)

  • Barclays upgraded Tesla to overweight on a possible SpaceX tie-up and Robotaxi growth (CNBC)

  • The average stock has a history of surviving tech busts better than giants (Opening Bell Daily)

  • Bank of America says memory supply is expected to be tighter in 2027 and 2028 (CNBC)

  • Anthropic's revenue jumped to $16.3 billion in the first half of 2026 (Opening Bell Daily)

On this day

🗓 October 27, 1997: The Dow fell 554 points, or 7.18%, and trading halted early after the market-wide circuit breakers kicked in for the first time. Stocks rebounded the next day on record volume.

Last thing

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Phil Rosen
Phil Rosen

Phil Rosen is co-founder and CEO of Opening Bell Media and chief market strategist for Silvia Inc. (NASDAQ: SVIA). He hosts Full Signal and writes Opening Bell Daily — the markets briefing read by over 200,000 investors and published on Bloomberg Terminals — and has also published two books and won a Fulbright award for his reporting. Contact him at [email protected].