Good morning, investors. The Federal Reserve begins its two-day meeting today but no one expects policymakers to adjust interest rates.

That’s why the FOMC has largely taken a back seat to the AI chatter to start the week.

Chip supercycle

Jensen Huang just buried the debate over whether AI spending has peaked.

Speaking Monday at GTC 2026 in California, he told a packed audience that Nvidia has visibility into at least $1 trillion in demand through next year.

The number he shared last year just for Blackwell and Vera Rubin was $500 billion.

If the largest company in the world is seeing demand double effectively overnight, it’s hard to bet against the broader trend.

Huang went even further.

“In fact, we are going to be short,” Huang said. “I am certain computing demand will be much higher than that.”

He brushed off the bear case for the AI trade — that hyperscaler spending would fall off — in front of a live audience of 30,000 guests.

Those comments landed alongside material product updates. Nvidia’s next-gen Vera Rubin platform is on track to ship in the second half of the year.

The broader AI trade, though, continues to falter.

The Magnificent 7 have together shed more than $2 trillion in market cap since peaking last year and now hover about 14% below record highs.

Big Tech, notably, has seen a far sharper drawdown than the rest of the S&P 500.

That said, zooming out tells an alternative story.

These seven stocks — Nvidia, Meta, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, Alphabet — have more than tripled their combined market cap over the last three years.

Even with the recent weakness, they still command $20 trillion in combined value.

Shares of Nvidia tend to sell off after keynote speeches from its CEO. Sky-high expectations often front-run the events and markets sell the news.

That pattern is worth watching in the coming trading days.

The AI buildout isn't slowing. It's accelerating.

And Huang just gave the market a number to prove it.

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Market snapshot

Elsewhere

🚗 Uber and Nvidia plan to roll out robotaxis soon. The two companies announced they will deploy a fleet of autonomous vehicles to the ride-hailing app across 28 cities globally by 2028. (Reuters)

🎯 Meta stock climbed on reports it will cut 20% of staff. Wall Street cheered the potential layoffs to its 79,000 employees as a way to offset surging AI infrastructure costs. (CNBC)

🛢 Scott Bessent said the US is allowing Iranian oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. That will allow global supply to continue flowing. The Treasury Secretary also said oil prices should fall "much lower" than $80 once the war ends. (CNBC)

🎯This week's Best Ideas Club stock pick came from one of the best portfolio manager on Wall Street. The full thesis is members-only. Join today.

Rapid-fire

  • President Trump says he doesn’t need any nation’s help to open Strait of Hormuz (WSJ)

  • Fed decision Wednesday seen as near-certain hold (CBS)

  • Elizabeth Warren asked Meta, Amazon why they’re laying off workers despite tax perks (Yahoo Finance)

  • Dollar Tree shares surged 7% after posting strong sales growth (MarketBeat)

  • Wedbush raised its price target on Micron from $320 to $500 (Yahoo Finance)

  • Bitcoin has climbed over the last two weeks while stocks and gold have dropped (Pomp Letter)

  • The biggest Fed story right now has nothing to do with the FOMC meeting (Opening Bell Daily)

On this day

🗓 March 17, 1980: The Fed and a group of US banks scrambled to contain the fallout from crashing silver prices and the Hunt Brothers’ failed attempt to corner the silver market.

Last thing

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