Vintage collage of two businessmen applauding in front of the New York Stock Exchange, the Wall Street bull, rising stock charts and a rocket launch.

SpaceX and Anthropic are absorbing so much capital that together they look set to raise more money than all the internet-era IPOs combined.

And that’s even with adjusting for inflation.

This reverses the usual dot-com comparison. In 1999, investors had hundreds of new high-flying stocks to select from, whereas today money is going to a handful of giant deals.

Twenty-seven years ago, 476 US IPOs raised nearly $65 billion, or about $130.7 billion in 2026 terms.

Now consider that SpaceX raised $85.7 billion in June, including the over-allotment, as the largest IPO ever.

Anthropic, which filed for its IPO on Monday, is seeking as much as $100 billion according to reporting from Reuters.

If it ends up raising anywhere near that target, the two deals together would surpass the entire class of 1999.

Horizontal bar chart comparing yearly US IPO proceeds with single IPOs, with the years in September 2026 dollars and excluding overallotments. The 476 US operating-company IPOs of 1999 raised 130.7 billion dollars and the 311 of 2021 raised 148.4 billion dollars. SpaceX's June 2026 IPO raised 85.7 billion dollars including its overallotment. Anthropic is reportedly seeking up to 100 billion dollars, shown as a hatched bar because the deal has not happened.

DataTrek Research co-founder Nicholas Colas, who was a portfolio manager in 1999, wrote in a note Tuesday that any comparison to 1999 "is of very limited utility."

"These are the proverbial apples and bowling balls," he said.

To be fair, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, UPS and BlackRock all went public in 1999, which suggests that even at the peak of a generational bubble, excellent businesses can still emerge.

But the market for new companies is slimming. The US saw just 90 IPOs in 2025, less than a fifth of the 1999 total.

As it happens, since 2001 the total number of US IPOs in a year hasn’t topped 311.

Bar chart of the number of US IPOs each year from 1990 to 2025. Counts peaked at 677 in 1996 and were 476 in 1999, highlighted in yellow. Since 2001 the yearly count has not topped 311, reached in 2021, and it was 90 in 2025, also highlighted, down 81 percent from 1999.

“Building out AI takes critical mass, so fair enough, but one can rightly wonder about the counterfactual of more IPOs giving investors a better shot at long-term winners,” Colas said. 

Notably, not every dollar of Anthropic's raise would go to the company.

Its S-1 said existing shareholders will sell stock in the offering too. DataTrek estimates that only a third of the IPO will be new stock sold by the company.

None of this means a handful of mega IPOs marks the top for the AI trade.

But it does mean investors are being asked to place bigger, more concentrated bets compared to the internet era.

Table of one-day and year-to-date changes for major stock indexes, bitcoin, gold, silver, Brent crude and the 10-year Treasury yield for Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Elsewhere

✈ Boeing fell 10.6% after a larger-than-expected loss. CEO Kelly Ortberg said on the earnings call that Boeing is targeting a 737 Max production rate of 52 jets a month in the second half of 2027. (CNBC)

🏦 SoFi stock climbed 13.4% after raising full-year guidance. Third-quarter revenue rose 44% to $1.39 billion, and the fintech introduced 2027 projections that topped Wall Street’s estimates. (Yahoo Finance)

🚗 GM is moving its stock listing to Nasdaq from the NYSE on November 17. The automaker, which first listed on the NYSE in 1911, will keep its “GM” ticker and said the switch makes it eligible for potential inclusion in the Nasdaq-100. (CNBC)

🏭 Core capital goods orders rose 0.5% in September and missed the 0.7% economists expected. The closely watched proxy for business spending followed an unrevised 1.6% jump in August. (Yahoo Finance)

Full Signal

Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo is Goldman Sachs' co-CIO of Multi-Asset Solutions. We sat down to discuss the debt-funded stage of the AI trade, why the bubble debate asks the wrong question and where she sees opportunity for 2027.

Tune in on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube.

Rapid-fire

  • The Fed is expected to hold rates Wednesday (CNBC)

  • HCA Healthcare fell 3.2% after signaling flat earnings for 2027 (Yahoo Finance)

  • Coca-Cola raised its full-year outlook for the third straight quarter (CNBC)

  • Anthropic's customers paying $100K or more grew nearly 8 times in 9 months (Opening Bell Daily)

  • UPS rose 5.7% after raising its full-year revenue forecast to about $92.6 billion (CNBC)

  • Royal Caribbean rose more than 5% after adjusted earnings of $6.57 a share topped the $6.36 analyst consensus (Yahoo Finance)

  • Microsoft stock has swung 7% on average after its last 8 earnings reports (Opening Bell Daily)

On this day

🗓 October 28, 1929: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 12.8% on what became known as Black Monday. The selloff deepened the next day, Black Tuesday, in the crash that preceded the Great Depression.

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Phil Rosen
Phil Rosen

Phil Rosen is co-founder and CEO of Opening Bell Media and chief market strategist for Silvia Inc. (NASDAQ: SVIA). He hosts Full Signal and writes Opening Bell Daily — the markets briefing read by over 200,000 investors and published on Bloomberg Terminals — and has also published two books and won a Fulbright award for his reporting. Contact him at [email protected].

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