Good morning, investors. Keep an eye out for the inflation data due this morning, but don’t fixate on it too much.
If this report is anything like the last half-dozen, it won’t matter anywhere near as much as what hyperscalers are saying and doing in the AI economy.
V-shaped once again
The market spent Tuesday morning spooked and the afternoon pretending it never happened.
The S&P 500 fell more than 2.2% after President Trump called for fresh strikes on Iran. Yet by the end of the trading day it clawed almost all those losses back, finishing down just 0.26% and still within reach of its record-high.
This pattern has played out twice already and each occasion proved to be a bullish opportunity.
On the"Liberation Day" tariff announcement in April 2025, the S&P 500 fell roughly 20%.
It took about a month to make the money back.
Importantly, when President Trump on April 9, 2025 announced a pause to those tariffs, investors who stayed invested captured one of the best trading days in history and have benefitted ever since.
Investors who sold and missed that one trading day remain down 12% to this day.

Chart courtesy of Exhibit A
When the Iran conflict started at the end of February 2026, stocks fell and oil prices skyrocketed.
That dip in equities, similarly, did not last long.
In V-shaped fashion, the index quickly returned to record highs and shrugged off the geopolitics.
On Tuesday the same reflex compressed into a single session, like a microcosm of the broader recurring theme.
The selloff and the recovery happened within hours of one another.
At this point, investors do not seem interested in waiting for the geopolitical or policy shock to resolve before they buying the dip.
Smart money is buying into the panic, betting any damage will be walked back or simply ignored.
That has turned out to be a winning playbook under this administration.
The April dip-buyers were richly rewarded, as were the ones who looked through the missiles in Iran.
That said, each faster rebound teaches the next wave of buyers to move quicker and ask fewer questions. That inherently makes for riskier, less predictable markets.
History teaches us that, at some point, the dip-buyers will find themselves on the wrong side of the trade.
That lesson however has yet to materialize during the AI boom.
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Market snapshot

Elsewhere
🚨 President Trump said the US “must” respond to Iran following a report that a US helicopter was shot down near the Strait of Hormuz. The two pilots were safe and not injured, the president said. (WSJ)
📈 US inflation is expected to have ticked higher in May. The latest CPI data is out at 8:30 AM in New York Wednesday, arriving three months into the conflict with Iran. Bloomberg economists expect inflation to climb 4.2% year-over-year. (Yahoo Finance)
📊 Small-business price-hike plans hit a four-year high in May. NFIB's optimism index fell to 95.3 while the share of owners planning to raise prices jumped seven points to 34%, the highest reading since July 2022. (Investing.com)
🍎 Apple stock tumbled further after its WWDC keynote and Siri AI updates. The stock touched a record intraday high before fading as investors digested another delay to the long-promised assistant overhaul. (CNBC)
Rapid-fire
The SpaceX IPO is oversubscribed with $10 billion in orders (Bloomberg)
Home sales rose in May 3.2% compared to a year ago (Yahoo Finance)
GameStop reported record first-quarter profits announcing $2 billion buyback (Quartz)
Anthropic released its new “Mythos-class” model to the general public with guardrails (WSJ)
SpaceX revealed its first orbital data center dubbed “AI1” (Yahoo Finance)
Oil prices dropped to a seven-week low on Tuesday (Reuters)
This biotech giant could soon become the biggest stock in the world (Best Ideas Club)
JPMorgan plans to deploy more powerful AI agents this year (CNBC)
Interview
I sat down with Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analyst James Seyffart to unpack the SpaceX IPO and why it’s not being fast-tracked into the S&P 500, the rise of leverage in markets, prediction market ETFs, and the bitcoin bear market.
Tune in on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube (and please leave a review if you enjoy the show!).
On this day
🗓 June 10, 2020: The FOMC ended its first post-pandemic meeting with a projection that the federal funds rate would stay near zero through 2022, formalizing the zero-rate regime that fueled the longest tech-led bull market in modern history.
Last thing
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